Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Kakaako Waterfront Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003702 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 3,136 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 15003003702 (Kakaako Waterfront in Urban Honolulu, Hawaii) comes in at 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 54% of US census tracts.

About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,355 a month while the average household earns $100,978 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 28% Owners 51%

Tract context

Occupied units2,114

Renter share49.5%

SVI overall0.73

Poverty rate14.4%

Median income$100,978

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.2946, -157.8527 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kakaako Waterfront scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Hawaii legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

14.4% poverty · this tract

3.6

Supply constraint

$2,355 rent vs county FMR

3.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.6

How Kakaako Waterfront compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

52%Socioeconomic
80%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
71%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kakaako Waterfront. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.4%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
13.0%Food insecurity
7.9%SNAP enrollment
5.1%Transit barriers
3.5%No health insurance
11.4%Frequent mental distress
23.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kakaako Waterfront

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and above the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Asian and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003702

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003702?

Census tract 15003003702 in the Kakaako Waterfront neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 15003003702?

Median gross rent is $2,355/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003702?

14.4% of residents in tract 15003003702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,136.

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 80th, minority 83th, housing 71th.

Is tract 15003003702 considered part of Kakaako Waterfront?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003702 fall within Kakaako Waterfront (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 15003003702 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 15003003702 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003702 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.