Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Kakaako Waterfront Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003703 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,802 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 7.2/10, tract 15003003703 in the Kakaako Waterfront area of Urban Honolulu, HI reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,802 residents. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Honolulu County average of 50.9%.

Risk score

7.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 23% Owners 68%

Tract context

Occupied units1,712

Renter share31.4%

SVI overall0.46

Poverty rate14.9%

Median income$105,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.2860, -157.8459 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kakaako Waterfront scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Hawaii legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

14.9% poverty · this tract

3.7

Supply constraint

$2,901 rent vs county FMR

5.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.6

How Kakaako Waterfront compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

21%Socioeconomic
52%Household composition
87%Racial/ethnic minority
60%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kakaako Waterfront. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.1%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
11.6%Food insecurity
7.3%SNAP enrollment
4.9%Transit barriers
3.1%No health insurance
11.3%Frequent mental distress
22.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kakaako Waterfront

At $2,901 a month, rents run 59% over what the rest of Urban Honolulu commands. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $105,833, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.1% against 11.3% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 86th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10.

Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003703

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003703?

Census tract 15003003703 in the Kakaako Waterfront neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 15003003703?

Median gross rent is $2,901/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003703?

14.9% of residents in tract 15003003703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,802.

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 52th, minority 87th, housing 60th.

Is tract 15003003703 considered part of Kakaako Waterfront?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003703 fall within Kakaako Waterfront (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 15003003703 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 15003003703 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003703 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.