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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Kakaako Waterfront Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003900 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 343 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

For landlords sizing up the Kakaako Waterfront area of Urban Honolulu, census tract 15003003900 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. On the national scale it ranks #32,388 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 79% of renter households, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $742 a month against an average household income of $20,682 a year, roughly 43% of income at the averages. About 78% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 62% Stable renters 17% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units252
Renter share78.2%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$20,682

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Kakaako Waterfront
Very High
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#37 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Elevated
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#53 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#73 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.2998, -157.8655 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kakaako Waterfront scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$742 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Kakaako Waterfront compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kakaako Waterfront risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 003900Urban Honolulu: 5.35.3Urban Honoluluparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kakaako Waterfront. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kakaako Waterfront

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and above the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Asian and White and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003900?

Census tract 15003003900 in the Kakaako Waterfront neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003003900?

Median gross rent is $742/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003900?

18.6% of residents in tract 15003003900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 343.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 74th, minority 81th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 15003003900 considered part of Kakaako Waterfront?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003900 fall within Kakaako Waterfront (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003003900 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003003900 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003900 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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