Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally

Kakaako Waterfront Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003801 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 4,814 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 15003003801 covers part of the Kakaako Waterfront area of Urban Honolulu, HI, and scores 7.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,814. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

7.4

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 23% Owners 51%

Tract context

Occupied units2,642

Renter share49.2%

SVI overall0.72

Poverty rate11.4%

Median income$85,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.2951, -157.8598 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kakaako Waterfront scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Hawaii legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

11.4% poverty · this tract

2.9

Supply constraint

$1,724 rent vs county FMR

1.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.6

How Kakaako Waterfront compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

60%Socioeconomic
36%Household composition
87%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kakaako Waterfront. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.7%Housing insecurity
4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
14.0%Food insecurity
8.8%SNAP enrollment
5.9%Transit barriers
4.0%No health insurance
13.1%Frequent mental distress
23.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kakaako Waterfront

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10.

Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.0% against 11.3% nationally. Nationally it ranks #10,727 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 54% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,724, close to the Urban Honolulu average.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $85,833. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003801

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003801?

Census tract 15003003801 in the Kakaako Waterfront neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 15003003801?

Median gross rent is $1,724/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003801?

11.4% of residents in tract 15003003801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,814.

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 36th, minority 87th, housing 87th.

Is tract 15003003801 considered part of Kakaako Waterfront?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003801 fall within Kakaako Waterfront (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 15003003801 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 15003003801 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003801 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.