Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Red Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003006811 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,714 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 15003006811 sits in the Red Hill area of Urban Honolulu eviction risk, HI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.9/10. It is home to 1,714 residents. 49% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

7.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 60% Stable renters 36% Owners 4%

Tract context

Occupied units331

Renter share95.8%

SVI overall0.19

Poverty rate15.8%

Median income$75,174

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3616, -157.9073 · click any tract to drill in

Why Red Hill scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Hawaii legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

15.8% poverty · this tract

4.0

Supply constraint

$3,501 rent vs county FMR

8.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.6

How Red Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

13%Socioeconomic
17%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
29%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.5%Housing insecurity
8.7%Utility-shutoff threat
20.0%Food insecurity
16.0%SNAP enrollment
8.8%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
18.7%Frequent mental distress
23.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Red Hill

Set annual rent against average income of $75,174 and the ratio lands at 56%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Average gross rent is $3,501, 92% above the Urban Honolulu average.

This is renter territory: 96% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

The voucher gap is 30.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Honolulu County average of 50.9%. It sits 1.9 points above the Honolulu County average of 6.0.

Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8/10.

That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 2.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003006811

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003006811?

Census tract 15003006811 in the Red Hill neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 15003006811?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003006811?

15.8% of residents in tract 15003006811 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,714.

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003006811?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 17th, minority 78th, housing 29th.

Is tract 15003006811 considered part of Red Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003006811 fall within Red Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 15003006811 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 15003006811 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003006811 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.