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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Watercolors Eviction Risk: Moderate , Makakilo

Tract 15003008611 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 25 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 15003008611 sits in the Watercolors area of Honolulu County, HI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. Population here is 25. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 40% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%
Tract context
Occupied units4
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate0.0%

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Watercolors
Very High
Within county
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#179 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Moderate
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#218 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Moderate
National
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#20,506 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Makakilo and the region

Centroid at 21.3543, -158.1085 · click any tract to drill in

Why Watercolors scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Makakilo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
0.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Makakilo
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Makakilo
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Makakilo
5.0

How Watercolors compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Watercolors risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0086115.9Makakiloparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Watercolors. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Watercolors

Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 1.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Model confidence here is 40%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.

It tracks the Honolulu County average of 6.0 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003008611

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003008611?

Census tract 15003008611 in the Watercolors neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003008611?

0.0% of residents in tract 15003008611 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 25.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003008611?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 15th, minority 100th, housing 0th.
Q4

Is tract 15003008611 considered part of Watercolors?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003008611 fall within Watercolors (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 15003008611 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 15003008611 compare to Makakilo overall?

Tract 15003008611 scores 5.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Makakilo at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Makakilo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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