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Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally

Watercolors Eviction Risk: Lower , Makakilo

Tract 15003008632 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 5,196 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.4/10 for census tract 15003008632 reflects conditions in the Watercolors neighborhood of Makakilo, Hawaii. That is riskier than roughly 54% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 79% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 52% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,786 monthly, set against $116,250 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 11% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 2% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,406
Renter share10.7%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$116,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Watercolors
Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Makakilo
Moderate
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#268 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Very Low
Within state
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#370 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Makakilo and the region

Centroid at 21.3416, -158.0886 · click any tract to drill in

Why Watercolors scores 1.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Makakilo
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,786 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Makakilo
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Makakilo
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Makakilo
6.5

How Watercolors compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Watercolors risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.81.8This tracttract 008632Makakilo: 5.35.3Makakiloparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Watercolors. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Watercolors

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Makakilo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and above the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Asian and multiracial or other-race and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003008632

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003008632?

Census tract 15003008632 in the Watercolors neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003008632?

Median gross rent is $2,786/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003008632?

7.2% of residents in tract 15003008632 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,196.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003008632?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 54th, minority 88th, housing 32th.
Q5

Is tract 15003008632 considered part of Watercolors?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003008632 fall within Watercolors (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003008632 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003008632 compare to Makakilo overall?

Tract 15003008632 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Makakilo at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Makakilo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Makakilo

Top eight tracts in Makakilo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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