Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Watercolors Eviction Risk: Moderate , Makakilo
Tract 15003008632 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 5,196 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 15003008632 sits in the Watercolors area of Makakilo eviction risk, HI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 5,196. 52% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,406
Renter share10.7%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$116,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Makakilo and the region
Centroid at 21.3416, -158.0886 · click any tract to drill in
Why Watercolors scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Makakilo
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,786 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Makakilo
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Makakilo
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Makakilo
6.5
How Watercolors compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Watercolors. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.0%Food insecurity
- 10.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 29.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Watercolors
79% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Honolulu County average of 50.9%. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.8/10. Average gross rent is $2,786, 22% above the Makakilo average. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Honolulu County average of 6.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $116,250.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003008632
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003008632?
Census tract 15003008632 in the Watercolors neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003008632?
Median gross rent is $2,786/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003008632?
7.2% of residents in tract 15003008632 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,196.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003008632?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 54th, minority 88th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 15003008632 considered part of Watercolors?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003008632 fall within Watercolors (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003008632 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003008632 compare to Makakilo overall?
Tract 15003008632 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Makakilo at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Makakilo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Makakilo
Top eight tracts in Makakilo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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