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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Watercolors Eviction Risk: Moderate , Makakilo

Tract 15003008633 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 3,130 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

15003008633 is a census tract in the Watercolors area of Makakilo, HI. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 6% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units957
Renter share14.6%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$111,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Watercolors
Elevated
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Makakilo
High
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#182 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Moderate
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#232 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Makakilo and the region

Centroid at 21.3510, -158.0819 · click any tract to drill in

Why Watercolors scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Makakilo
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,790 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Makakilo
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Makakilo
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Makakilo
6.5

How Watercolors compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Watercolors risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0086335.9Makakiloparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Watercolors. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Watercolors

Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.

Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $1,790, 21% below the Makakilo average.

57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Honolulu County average of 50.9%. Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Honolulu County average of 6.0 closely.

Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $111,250.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003008633

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003008633?

Census tract 15003008633 in the Watercolors neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003008633?

Median gross rent is $1,790/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003008633?

8.2% of residents in tract 15003008633 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,130.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003008633?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 72th, minority 82th, housing 20th.
Q5

Is tract 15003008633 considered part of Watercolors?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003008633 fall within Watercolors (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003008633 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003008633 compare to Makakilo overall?

Tract 15003008633 scores 5.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Makakilo at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Makakilo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Makakilo

Top eight tracts in Makakilo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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