Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Watercolors Eviction Risk: Moderate , Makakilo
Tract 15003008630 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 3,700 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 15003008630 covers part of the Watercolors area of Makakilo, HI, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 53%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units918
Renter share22.9%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$133,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Makakilo and the region
Centroid at 21.3616, -158.0876 · click any tract to drill in
Why Watercolors scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Makakilo
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,034 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Makakilo
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Makakilo
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Makakilo
6.5
How Watercolors compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Watercolors. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.0%Food insecurity
- 16.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 6.7%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Watercolors
Against Honolulu County at 50.9%, 91% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10.
Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Average gross rent is $2,034, 11% below the Makakilo average.
Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $133,000.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003008630
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003008630?
Census tract 15003008630 in the Watercolors neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003008630?
Median gross rent is $2,034/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 91% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003008630?
6.4% of residents in tract 15003008630 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,700.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003008630?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 15th, minority 81th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 15003008630 considered part of Watercolors?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003008630 fall within Watercolors (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003008630 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003008630 compare to Makakilo overall?
Tract 15003008630 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Makakilo at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Makakilo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Makakilo
Top eight tracts in Makakilo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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