Census Tract · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Caldwell Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 16027021300 · Canyon County, ID · pop 2,996

For landlords sizing up Caldwell, census tract 16027021300 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. It lands near the 18th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $954 monthly, set against $46,736 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 68% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 33% Owners 32%

Tract context

Occupied units930

Renter share67.8%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate21.0%

Median income$46,736

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Caldwell and the region

Centroid at 43.6631, -116.6746 · click any tract to drill in

Why Caldwell scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Caldwell

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.0

State political climate

Idaho legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

21.0% poverty · this tract

5.2

Supply constraint

$954 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Caldwell

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Caldwell

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Caldwell

2.5

How Caldwell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
99%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.0%Housing insecurity
12.8%Utility-shutoff threat
27.3%Food insecurity
19.8%SNAP enrollment
13.8%Transit barriers
24.8%No health insurance
18.8%Frequent mental distress
45.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Caldwell

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 5.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Caldwell eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Canyon County average of 3.8 and in line with the Idaho statewide average of 4.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 16027021300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 16027021300?

Census tract 16027021300 in Caldwell scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 16027021300?

Median gross rent is $954/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 16027021300?

21.0% of residents in tract 16027021300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,996.

How socially vulnerable is tract 16027021300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 78th, minority 77th, housing 99th.

What share of households in tract 16027021300 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 16027021300 compare to Caldwell overall?

Tract 16027021300 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Caldwell at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Caldwell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Caldwell

Top eight tracts in Caldwell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.