Old Town Triangle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.4/10. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

The voucher gap is 26.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

Food insecurity runs 6.6% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 50 filings here across 14 tracked years. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2012 at 2.6% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.