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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Old Town Triangle Eviction Risk: Moderate

8 census tracts · pop 33,746 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 3.5–7.1

Old Town Triangle is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Chicago with 8 census tracts and a population of 33,746 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 35% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,006/month sits 39% higher than the Chicago citywide average ($1,440).

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
8 tracts · population-weighted
Old Town Triangle vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
34.6% +18%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$2,006 +39%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$115,496 +54%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
9.9% -41%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
54.7% +1%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Old Town Triangle and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 8 tracts span score 3.5–7.1

Why Old Town Triangle scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
35% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
55% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
9.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–6.9 across tracts
2.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–9.8 across tracts
6.6
Risk score comparison

Old Town Triangle vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Old Town Triangle score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Old Town Triangle: 4.34.3Old Town TriangleNeighborhoodParent city: 5.75.7Parent cityhost cityState: 4.74.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Old Town Triangle?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 3.6 points from 3.5 to 7.1. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

8 tracts in Old Town Triangle

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031080400 7.1 4,888 43% $819
17031080202 4.6 3,800 40% $1,916
17031080100 4.1 6,607 39% $2,017
17031071700 4 1,485 35% $2,612
17031080300 3.7 5,836 35% $2,575
17031080201 3.7 3,236 18% $2,121
17031071600 3.7 1,903 42% $2,233
17031071500 3.5 5,991 26% $2,180
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 20

Pop-weighted across 8 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 18%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 13%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 37%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 56%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Old Town Triangle

Aggregated across 8 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,703Total filings (sum)
  • 2.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.5%Peak year (2012)
  • 1.62%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Old Town Triangle

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Old Town Triangle

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Old Town Triangle?

Old Town Triangle scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 8 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Old Town Triangle compare to Chicago overall?

Old Town Triangle scores 1.4 points lower than Chicago overall (5.7/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,006 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Old Town Triangle?

Average gross rent in Old Town Triangle is $2,006/month (pop-weighted across 8 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Old Town Triangle residents are renters?

55% of Old Town Triangle households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 33,746 residents.
Q5

Is Old Town Triangle a high social-vulnerability area?

Old Town Triangle sits in the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Old Town Triangle have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Old Town Triangle is census tract 17031080400 (score 7.1/10). Across the 8 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.5 to 7.1, a spread of 3.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Old Town Triangle for landlords?

Old Town Triangle carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 8 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (5.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Old Town Triangle?

Old Town Triangle has 35,125 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (7.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Old Town Triangle

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Old Town Triangle.

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