Old Town Triangle Eviction Risk: Moderate

Scores across the 8 constituent tracts range from 5.3 to 8.1. A 2.8-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

Severe burden reaches 16%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

35% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Chicago rate of 29.3%. Filings are well documented here: 3,703 across 8 observed tracts. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.6/10.

The voucher gap is 13.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 12.5% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 8.9% of adults, 8.9 points below the national rate.

5.2% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. The most recent observed rate, 1.5% in 2015, is well off that peak.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.8 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.