Within neighborhood
14
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Old Town Triangle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031080201 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,236 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 17031080201 in the Old Town Triangle area of Chicago, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,236 residents. 18% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Cook County average of 45.6%.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,362
Renter share39.3%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$118,417
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9095, -87.6310 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Town Triangle scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,121 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Old Town Triangle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 11%Grade B
- 44%Grade C
- 40%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 338Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.5%Peak (2011)
- 12Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Old Town Triangle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.8%Food insecurity
- 4.1%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 11.9%Frequent mental distress
- 19.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old Town Triangle
At $2,121 a month, rents run 47% over what the rest of Chicago commands. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Disability prevalence runs 19.4% against 31.5% nationally.
The voucher gap is 20.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. SNAP participation runs 4.1% against 15.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 338 evictions over 15 years of observation. It sits 0.8 points below the Cook County average of 6.1.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 3.5% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031080201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031080201?
Census tract 17031080201 in the Old Town Triangle neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031080201?
Median gross rent is $2,121/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031080201?
2.4% of residents in tract 17031080201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,236.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031080201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 4th, minority 18th, housing 36th.
Q5
Is tract 17031080201 considered part of Old Town Triangle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031080201 fall within Old Town Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031080201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 338 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031080201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.63% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031080201 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031080201 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031080201 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031080201 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 40% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Marquette Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
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Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Edgewater Glen
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Windsor Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chester Highlands
8.1
/ 10 · High
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Brookdale
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Glendale
8.1
/ 10 · High
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