Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Ranch Triangle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031071800 ·
Cook County, IL · pop 2,726 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 17031071800 sits in the Ranch Triangle area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. Cost burden runs 16% here against 45.6% across Cook County.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%Stable renters 35%Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,090
Renter share42.2%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$232,807
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Ranch Triangle
Very High
Within parent city
14th percentile
#685 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very Low
Within county
31th percentile
#915 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Low
Within state
59th percentile
#1,346 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9146, -87.6460 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ranch Triangle scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,798 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Ranch Triangle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
6%Socioeconomic
6%Household composition
35%Racial/ethnic minority
29%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
176Total filings over 15 yrs
2.23%Avg annual filing rate
4.7%Peak (2006)
9Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2015
Filings dropped 36% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ranch Triangle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.0%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
6.9%Food insecurity
4.9%SNAP enrollment
4.2%Transit barriers
4.4%No health insurance
12.4%Frequent mental distress
16.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ranch Triangle
The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. At $2,798 a month, rents run 94% over what the rest of Chicago commands.
The voucher gap is 58.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Food insecurity runs 6.9% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 176 evictions over 15 years of observation.
It sits 0.8 points below the Cook County average of 6.1. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2006 at 4.7% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 1.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031071800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031071800?
Census tract 17031071800 in the Ranch Triangle neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031071800?
Median gross rent is $2,798/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031071800?
4.1% of residents in tract 17031071800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,726.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031071800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 6th, minority 35th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 17031071800 considered part of Ranch Triangle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031071800 fall within Ranch Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031071800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 176 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031071800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.23% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031071800 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031071800 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031071800 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031071800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.