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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Ranch Triangle Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,074 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 5.3–5.3

Ranch Triangle takes in 2 census tracts of Chicago, IL, population 7,074. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.3/10, in the Moderate tier. At $2,552 a month, rents sit 77% over what the rest of Chicago commands.

The voucher gap is 44.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1/10.

Against a Chicago baseline of 29.3%, 20% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

Disability prevalence reaches 15.8% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. Filings are well documented here: 271 across 2 observed tracts. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 7.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Severe burden reaches 9%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Filing activity peaked in 2006 at 4.7% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 1.3% in 2015, is well off that peak.

Among the 187 mapped neighborhoods of Chicago, it ranks #168 by risk, the lower third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Lakeshore East and Bucktown.

With little internal variation, 5.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Ranch Triangle vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
19.9% -32%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$2,552 +77%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$219,603 +192%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
2.9% -83%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
38.3% -29%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ranch Triangle and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.3–5.3

Why Ranch Triangle scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
20% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
2.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 8.6–10.0 across tracts
9.1
Risk score comparison

Ranch Triangle vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Ranch Triangle score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Ranch Triangle: 5.35.3Ranch TriangleNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Ranch Triangle

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031832600 5.3 4,348 22% $2,397
17031071800 5.3 2,726 16% $2,798
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 9

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 12%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 3%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 27%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Ranch Triangle

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 271Total filings (sum)
  • 1.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak year (2006)
  • 1.10%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ranch Triangle

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Ranch Triangle

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Ranch Triangle?

Ranch Triangle scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Ranch Triangle compare to Chicago overall?

Ranch Triangle scores 1.4 points lower than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 20% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,552 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Ranch Triangle?

Average gross rent in Ranch Triangle is $2,552/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Ranch Triangle residents are renters?

38% of Ranch Triangle households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 7,074 residents.
Q5

Is Ranch Triangle a high social-vulnerability area?

Ranch Triangle sits in the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Ranch Triangle have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Ranch Triangle is census tract 17031832600 (score 5.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 5.3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Ranch Triangle for landlords?

Ranch Triangle carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Ranch Triangle?

Ranch Triangle has 7,020 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (81.3%), Hispanic / Latino (5.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ranch Triangle

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ranch Triangle.

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