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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally

Brynford Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031130200 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,545 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

17031130200 is a census tract in the Brynford Park area of Chicago, IL. It scores 6.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,545 residents. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Cook County average of 45.6%.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 5% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units720
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate13.1%
Median income$103,611

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Brynford Park
Very Low
Within parent city
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#553 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Low
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#646 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#773 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9818, -87.7376 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brynford Park scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
13.1% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,698 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Brynford Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brynford Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 130200Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 32Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 1.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.7%Peak (2010)
  • 4Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170311302002001: 1 filings (0.77/100 renter HHs)2002: 3 filings (2.31/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (0.77/100 renter HHs)2004: 1 filings (0.77/100 renter HHs)2005: 1 filings (0.49/100 renter HHs)2006: 1 filings (0.49/100 renter HHs)2007: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2008: 4 filings (1.95/100 renter HHs)2009: 1 filings (0.49/100 renter HHs)2010: 5 filings (3.68/100 renter HHs)2011: 4 filings (2.40/100 renter HHs)2012: 1 filings (0.60/100 renter HHs)2013: 2 filings (1.20/100 renter HHs)2014: 3 filings (1.80/100 renter HHs)2015: 4 filings (2.40/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 300% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brynford Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brynford Park

The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.5/10.

At $1,698 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of Chicago commands. Court records carry 32 eviction filings across 14 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2010, when 3.7% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031130200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031130200?

Census tract 17031130200 in the Brynford Park neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031130200?

Median gross rent is $1,698/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031130200?

13.1% of residents in tract 17031130200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,545.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031130200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 85th, minority 65th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 17031130200 considered part of Brynford Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031130200 fall within Brynford Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031130200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 32 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 17031130200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.44% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031130200 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031130200 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031130200 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031130200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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