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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Brynford Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031831800 · Cook County, IL · pop 7,918 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

17031831800 is a census tract in the Brynford Park area of Chicago, IL. It scores 7.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 7,918. around a third of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Cook County average of 45.6%.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 39% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units2,555
Renter share58.4%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate18.1%
Median income$84,357

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Brynford Park
Very High
Within parent city
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#381 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Moderate
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#450 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#476 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9782, -87.7165 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brynford Park scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
18.1% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,393 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Brynford Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brynford Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.37.3This tracttract 831800Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 266Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 1.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.1%Peak (2009)
  • 15Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318318002001: 16 filings (1.22/100 renter HHs)2002: 19 filings (1.44/100 renter HHs)2003: 17 filings (1.29/100 renter HHs)2004: 18 filings (1.37/100 renter HHs)2005: 14 filings (1.12/100 renter HHs)2006: 16 filings (1.27/100 renter HHs)2007: 13 filings (1.04/100 renter HHs)2008: 18 filings (1.43/100 renter HHs)2009: 26 filings (2.07/100 renter HHs)2010: 15 filings (1.21/100 renter HHs)2011: 14 filings (1.17/100 renter HHs)2012: 26 filings (2.17/100 renter HHs)2013: 23 filings (1.92/100 renter HHs)2014: 16 filings (1.34/100 renter HHs)2015: 15 filings (1.25/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brynford Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brynford Park

The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.5/10.

The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 266 filings here across 15 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2009, when 2.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031831800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031831800?

Census tract 17031831800 in the Brynford Park neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031831800?

Median gross rent is $1,393/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031831800?

18.1% of residents in tract 17031831800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,918.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031831800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 46th, minority 73th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 17031831800 considered part of Brynford Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031831800 fall within Brynford Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031831800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 266 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031831800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.42% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031831800 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031831800 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031831800 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031831800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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