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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally

Mayfair Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031140302 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,311 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 17031140302 sits in the Mayfair area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 36% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,343
Renter share56.7%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate11.3%
Median income$75,806

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Mayfair
Moderate
Within parent city
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#472 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Moderate
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#540 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#635 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9725, -87.7238 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mayfair scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
11.3% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,221 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Mayfair compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mayfair risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.86.8This tracttract 140302Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 267Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 2.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.5%Peak (2012)
  • 24Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170311403022001: 15 filings (1.32/100 renter HHs)2002: 12 filings (1.06/100 renter HHs)2003: 11 filings (0.97/100 renter HHs)2004: 20 filings (1.76/100 renter HHs)2005: 15 filings (1.76/100 renter HHs)2006: 11 filings (1.29/100 renter HHs)2007: 17 filings (1.99/100 renter HHs)2008: 15 filings (1.76/100 renter HHs)2009: 16 filings (1.88/100 renter HHs)2010: 20 filings (2.66/100 renter HHs)2011: 19 filings (2.43/100 renter HHs)2012: 27 filings (3.46/100 renter HHs)2013: 21 filings (2.69/100 renter HHs)2014: 24 filings (3.07/100 renter HHs)2015: 24 filings (3.07/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 60% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mayfair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mayfair

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 37% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The filing record is not thin: 267 evictions over 15 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,221, 15% below the Chicago average.

It sits 0.7 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. The worst year on record was 2012, when 3.5% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031140302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031140302?

Census tract 17031140302 in the Mayfair neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031140302?

Median gross rent is $1,221/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031140302?

11.3% of residents in tract 17031140302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,311.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031140302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 65th, minority 73th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 17031140302 considered part of Mayfair?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031140302 fall within Mayfair (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031140302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 267 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031140302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.08% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031140302 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031140302 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031140302 scores 6.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031140302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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