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Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally

Mayfair Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031140400 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,911 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

17031140400 is a census tract in the Mayfair area of Chicago, IL. It scores 6.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,911 residents. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 10% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units2,083
Renter share19.6%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$98,819

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 7 tracts In Mayfair
Very Low
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#565 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Low
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#674 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#802 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9715, -87.7389 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mayfair scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,225 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Mayfair compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mayfair risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 140400Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 182Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 1.43%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.3%Peak (2002)
  • 14Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170311404002001: 14 filings (1.67/100 renter HHs)2002: 19 filings (2.27/100 renter HHs)2003: 12 filings (1.44/100 renter HHs)2004: 10 filings (1.20/100 renter HHs)2005: 5 filings (0.52/100 renter HHs)2006: 7 filings (0.72/100 renter HHs)2007: 9 filings (0.93/100 renter HHs)2008: 7 filings (0.72/100 renter HHs)2009: 16 filings (1.65/100 renter HHs)2010: 10 filings (1.23/100 renter HHs)2011: 10 filings (1.25/100 renter HHs)2012: 14 filings (1.75/100 renter HHs)2013: 17 filings (2.12/100 renter HHs)2014: 18 filings (2.25/100 renter HHs)2015: 14 filings (1.75/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mayfair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mayfair

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 182 filings here across 15 tracked years.

At $1,225 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Filings peaked in 2002 at 2.3% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #17,132 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $98,819, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031140400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031140400?

Census tract 17031140400 in the Mayfair neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031140400?

Median gross rent is $1,225/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031140400?

11.4% of residents in tract 17031140400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,911.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031140400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 69th, minority 72th, housing 32th.
Q5

Is tract 17031140400 considered part of Mayfair?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031140400 fall within Mayfair (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031140400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 182 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031140400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.43% of renter households, peaking at 2.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031140400 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031140400 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031140400 scores 6.2/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031140400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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