Mayfair Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031140400 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,911 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
17031140400 is a census tract in the Mayfair area of Chicago, IL. It scores 6.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,911 residents. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9715, -87.7389 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mayfair scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Mayfair compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 85%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 182Total filings over 15 yrs
- 1.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.3%Peak (2002)
- 14Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mayfair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.5%Food insecurity
- 11.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 11.1%No health insurance
- 13.4%Frequent mental distress
- 24.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Mayfair
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 182 filings here across 15 tracked years.
At $1,225 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Filings peaked in 2002 at 2.3% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #17,132 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $98,819, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 17031140400
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031140400?
What is the average rent in tract 17031140400?
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031140400?
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031140400?
Is tract 17031140400 considered part of Mayfair?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031140400?
What share of households in tract 17031140400 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 17031140400 compare to Chicago overall?
Was tract 17031140400 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.