Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Martin Luther Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031150402 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,945 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
17031150402 is a census tract in the Martin Luther area of Chicago, IL. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,945. roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Cook County average of 45.6%.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,355
Renter share39.8%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$102,094
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
24
th percentile
Low
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9568, -87.7720 · click any tract to drill in
Why Martin Luther scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,286 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Martin Luther compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 87%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 154Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2011)
- 8Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Martin Luther. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.2%Food insecurity
- 14.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 13.6%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Martin Luther
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 154 evictions over 15 years of observation.
Average gross rent is $1,286, 11% below the Chicago average. The worst year on record was 2011, when 4.6% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #19,618 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $102,094, annual rent is just 15%. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031150402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031150402?
Census tract 17031150402 in the Martin Luther neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031150402?
Median gross rent is $1,286/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031150402?
9.6% of residents in tract 17031150402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,945.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031150402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 80th, minority 69th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 17031150402 considered part of Martin Luther?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031150402 fall within Martin Luther (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031150402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 154 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031150402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.20% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031150402 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031150402 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031150402 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031150402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
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Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Bush
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Princeton Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
K-Town Historic District
8.1
/ 10 · High
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South Brighton
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
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