Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Martin Luther Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031150402 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,945 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.4/10 for census tract 17031150402 reflects conditions in the Martin Luther neighborhood of Chicago, Illinois. That is riskier than about 54% of US census tracts.
About 31% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,286 a month against an average household income of $102,094 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,355
Renter share39.8%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$102,094
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9568, -87.7720 · click any tract to drill in
Why Martin Luther scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,286 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Martin Luther compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 87%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 154Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2011)
- 8Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Martin Luther. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.2%Food insecurity
- 14.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 13.6%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Martin Luther
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 154 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 2.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.6% of renter households in 2011.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031150402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031150402?
Census tract 17031150402 in the Martin Luther neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031150402?
Median gross rent is $1,286/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031150402?
9.6% of residents in tract 17031150402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,945.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031150402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 80th, minority 69th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 17031150402 considered part of Martin Luther?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031150402 fall within Martin Luther (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031150402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 154 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031150402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.20% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031150402 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031150402 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031150402 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031150402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Argyle Street
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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Ridgeland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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Altgeld Gardens
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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Philip Murray Homes
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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Becks Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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Pacific Junction
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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North Kenwood
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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Homan Square
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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