Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,848 of 84,120 nationally
Arcadia Terrace Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031020901 · Cook County, IL · pop 6,179 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Eviction risk in Arcadia Terrace in Chicago centers on tract 17031020901, which scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 6,179 residents. On the national scale it ranks #10,776 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,428 monthly, set against $52,378 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 62% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units2,212
Renter share62.3%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate25.6%
Median income$52,378
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9944, -87.6855 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arcadia Terrace scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
25.6% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,428 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Arcadia Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 3%Grade B
- 80%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 913Total filings over 15 yrs
- 6.56%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.1%Peak (2013)
- 63Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arcadia Terrace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.3%Housing insecurity
- 14.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.4%Food insecurity
- 29.1%SNAP enrollment
- 14.5%Transit barriers
- 15.8%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 30.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arcadia Terrace
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031020901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031020901?
Census tract 17031020901 in the Arcadia Terrace neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031020901?
Median gross rent is $1,428/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031020901?
25.6% of residents in tract 17031020901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,179.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031020901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 60th, minority 84th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 17031020901 considered part of Arcadia Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031020901 fall within Arcadia Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031020901?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 913 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031020901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.56% of renter households, peaking at 8.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031020901 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031020901 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031020901 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031020901 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Altgeld Gardens
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Philip Murray Homes
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Pacific Junction
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Becks Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Central Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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