Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Martin Luther Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031150501 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,854 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 17031150501 in the Martin Luther area of Chicago, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 33% here against 45.6% across Cook County.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,523
Renter share24.2%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$126,806
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9645, -87.7820 · click any tract to drill in
Why Martin Luther scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,390 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Martin Luther compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 68%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 107Total filings over 15 yrs
- 1.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.4%Peak (2009)
- 12Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 500% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Martin Luther. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.8%Food insecurity
- 7.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 12.8%Frequent mental distress
- 22.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Martin Luther
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.2/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The filing record is not thin: 107 evictions over 15 years of observation.
SNAP participation runs 7.5% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2009 at 2.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031150501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031150501?
Census tract 17031150501 in the Martin Luther neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031150501?
Median gross rent is $1,390/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031150501?
4.7% of residents in tract 17031150501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,854.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031150501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 34th, minority 60th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 17031150501 considered part of Martin Luther?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031150501 fall within Martin Luther (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031150501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 107 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031150501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.96% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031150501 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031150501 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031150501 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031150501 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Crawford
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Jackson Park Highlands District
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Stewart Ridge
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Related