Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Belmont Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031190701 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,835 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 17031190701 sits in the Belmont Park area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. It is home to 2,835 residents. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units889
Renter share56.6%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$67,868
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
36
th percentile
Low
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9298, -87.7614 · click any tract to drill in
Why Belmont Park scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,270 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Belmont Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 98%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 202Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2008)
- 19Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 58% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Belmont Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.0%Housing insecurity
- 10.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.9%Food insecurity
- 18.0%SNAP enrollment
- 11.3%Transit barriers
- 22.8%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 28.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Belmont Park
The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.7/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. 51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Cook County average of 45.6%.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 202 filings here across 15 tracked years. Food insecurity runs 25.9% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 22.0% against 14.2% nationally.
At $1,270 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Filings peaked in 2008 at 4.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.1/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031190701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031190701?
Census tract 17031190701 in the Belmont Park neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031190701?
Median gross rent is $1,270/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031190701?
6.6% of residents in tract 17031190701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,835.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031190701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 90th, minority 83th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 17031190701 considered part of Belmont Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031190701 fall within Belmont Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031190701?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 202 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031190701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.67% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031190701 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031190701 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031190701 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031190701 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Park Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Ellsworth
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mandell
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Cheltenham
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Park Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Placerdale
8.1
/ 10 · High
Related