Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Palmer Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031221100 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,542 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 17031221100 covers part of the Palmer Square area of Chicago, IL, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 42% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,037
Renter share64.5%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate15.3%
Median income$96,514

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In Palmer Square
Elevated
Within parent city
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#491 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Low
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#582 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#690 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9210, -87.7104 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palmer Square scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
15.3% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,547 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Palmer Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palmer Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.66.6This tracttract 221100Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 507Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 2.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.8%Peak (2001)
  • 25Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170312211002001: 68 filings (4.81/100 renter HHs)2002: 39 filings (2.76/100 renter HHs)2003: 50 filings (3.54/100 renter HHs)2004: 41 filings (2.90/100 renter HHs)2005: 27 filings (1.79/100 renter HHs)2006: 17 filings (1.13/100 renter HHs)2007: 21 filings (1.39/100 renter HHs)2008: 44 filings (2.92/100 renter HHs)2009: 36 filings (2.39/100 renter HHs)2010: 30 filings (2.23/100 renter HHs)2011: 36 filings (2.95/100 renter HHs)2012: 30 filings (2.46/100 renter HHs)2013: 15 filings (1.23/100 renter HHs)2014: 28 filings (2.30/100 renter HHs)2015: 25 filings (2.05/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 63% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Palmer Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palmer Square

36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Cook County average of 45.6%. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 507 evictions over 15 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2001 at 4.8% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Cook County average of 6.1 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,547, close to the Chicago average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031221100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031221100?

Census tract 17031221100 in the Palmer Square neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031221100?

Median gross rent is $1,547/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031221100?

15.3% of residents in tract 17031221100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,542.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031221100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 25th, minority 69th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 17031221100 considered part of Palmer Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031221100 fall within Palmer Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031221100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 507 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031221100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.46% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031221100 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031221100 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031221100 scores 6.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031221100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related