Within neighborhood
43
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Palmer Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031221200 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,865 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 17031221200 covers part of the Palmer Square area of Chicago, IL, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,865. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 27% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,298
Renter share53.9%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$126,481
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9211, -87.7047 · click any tract to drill in
Why Palmer Square scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,897 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Palmer Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 228Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.0%Peak (2011)
- 11Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Palmer Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.0%Food insecurity
- 10.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 9.3%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 19.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Palmer Square
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,897, 32% above the Chicago average. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Disability prevalence runs 19.2% against 31.5% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 228 evictions over 15 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2011 at 3.0% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4/10. Against average income of $126,481, annual rent is just 18%.
Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031221200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031221200?
Census tract 17031221200 in the Palmer Square neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031221200?
Median gross rent is $1,897/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031221200?
16.1% of residents in tract 17031221200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,865.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031221200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 5th, minority 56th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 17031221200 considered part of Palmer Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031221200 fall within Palmer Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031221200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 228 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031221200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.22% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031221200 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031221200 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031221200 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031221200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Forest Hill
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Clarendon Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Kelvyn Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
East Hyde Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
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