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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Pacific Junction Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031230600 · Cook County, IL · pop 8,977 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 17031230600 covers part of the Pacific Junction area of Chicago, IL, and scores 7.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 8,977. Adults with no health insurance runs 31.0% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 40% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units2,164
Renter share72.3%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate15.3%
Median income$57,220

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 16 tracts In Pacific Junction
Elevated
Within parent city
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#324 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Elevated
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#351 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#375 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9062, -87.7340 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pacific Junction scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
15.3% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,199 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Pacific Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pacific Junction risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.77.7This tracttract 230600Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,235Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 6.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.0%Peak (2013)
  • 77Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170312306002001: 96 filings (7.08/100 renter HHs)2002: 103 filings (7.60/100 renter HHs)2003: 92 filings (6.78/100 renter HHs)2004: 83 filings (6.12/100 renter HHs)2005: 51 filings (3.70/100 renter HHs)2006: 77 filings (5.59/100 renter HHs)2007: 63 filings (4.58/100 renter HHs)2008: 80 filings (5.81/100 renter HHs)2009: 64 filings (4.65/100 renter HHs)2010: 77 filings (5.37/100 renter HHs)2011: 81 filings (6.46/100 renter HHs)2012: 87 filings (6.94/100 renter HHs)2013: 113 filings (9.01/100 renter HHs)2014: 91 filings (7.26/100 renter HHs)2015: 77 filings (6.14/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pacific Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pacific Junction

The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. It sits 1.6 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. At $1,199 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Chicago commands.

The filing record is not thin: 1,235 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2013, when 9.0% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.2% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #9,433 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031230600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031230600?

Census tract 17031230600 in the Pacific Junction neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031230600?

Median gross rent is $1,199/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031230600?

15.3% of residents in tract 17031230600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,977.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031230600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 90th, minority 90th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 17031230600 considered part of Pacific Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031230600 fall within Pacific Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031230600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,235 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031230600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.21% of renter households, peaking at 9.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031230600 struggle to pay rent?

About 36.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031230600 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031230600 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031230600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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