Within neighborhood
73
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Pacific Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031230600 · Cook County, IL · pop 8,977 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Eviction risk in Pacific Junction in Chicago centers on tract 17031230600, which scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 8,977 residents. On the national scale it ranks #23,493 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,199 monthly, set against $57,220 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 72% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units2,164
Renter share72.3%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate15.3%
Median income$57,220
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9062, -87.7340 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pacific Junction scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
15.3% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,199 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Pacific Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 68%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,235Total filings over 15 yrs
- 6.21%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.0%Peak (2013)
- 77Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pacific Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 36.3%Housing insecurity
- 22.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 48.5%Food insecurity
- 45.4%SNAP enrollment
- 21.9%Transit barriers
- 31.0%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 40.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pacific Junction
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,235 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 6.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.0% of renter households in 2013.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031230600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031230600?
Census tract 17031230600 in the Pacific Junction neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031230600?
Median gross rent is $1,199/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031230600?
15.3% of residents in tract 17031230600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,977.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031230600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 90th, minority 90th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 17031230600 considered part of Pacific Junction?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031230600 fall within Pacific Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031230600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,235 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031230600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.21% of renter households, peaking at 9.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031230600 struggle to pay rent?
About 36.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031230600 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031230600 scores 5.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031230600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Argyle Street
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Altgeld Gardens
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Philip Murray Homes
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Pacific Junction
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Becks Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Central Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Related