Within neighborhood
29
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Moreland Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031251800 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,399 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 17031251800 covers part of the Moreland area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,399. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,723
Renter share76.3%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate34.5%
Median income$36,681
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8841, -87.7479 · click any tract to drill in
Why Moreland scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
34.5% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$1,215 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Moreland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 70%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,716Total filings over 15 yrs
- 8.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.5%Peak (2001)
- 126Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 23% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Moreland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 42.6%Housing insecurity
- 32.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 55.9%Food insecurity
- 62.4%SNAP enrollment
- 27.2%Transit barriers
- 17.1%No health insurance
- 22.7%Frequent mental distress
- 42.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Moreland
68% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Cook County average of 45.6%. Food insecurity runs 55.9% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 62.4% against 15.2% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $36,681 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.6/10.
The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.9/10.
Average gross rent is $1,215, 16% below the Chicago average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,716 filings here across 15 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2001, when 12.5% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031251800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031251800?
Census tract 17031251800 in the Moreland neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031251800?
Median gross rent is $1,215/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031251800?
34.5% of residents in tract 17031251800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,399.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031251800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 79th, minority 99th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 17031251800 considered part of Moreland?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031251800 fall within Moreland (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031251800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,716 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031251800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.47% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031251800 struggle to pay rent?
About 42.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 32.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031251800 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031251800 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031251800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Mandell
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Jarvis Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Bryn Mawr East
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Philip Murray Homes
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Englewood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Central Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
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