K-Town Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.9/10. Food insecurity runs 51.7% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 40.5% against 14.2% nationally.

60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Cook County average of 45.6%. The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.8/10.

At $1,204 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Chicago commands. The filing record is not thin: 1,059 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2001, when 9.8% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 7.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.