Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
The Bush Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031460100 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,650 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
17031460100 is a census tract in the The Bush area of Chicago, IL. It scores 8.1/10 for landlords. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units977
Renter share62.8%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$48,207
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
84
th percentile
High
Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7478, -87.5367 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Bush scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,053 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How The Bush compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 19%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,256Total filings over 15 yrs
- 10.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.8%Peak (2001)
- 71Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 41% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Bush. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.0%Housing insecurity
- 19.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.3%Food insecurity
- 37.1%SNAP enrollment
- 17.2%Transit barriers
- 13.6%No health insurance
- 18.1%Frequent mental distress
- 35.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Bush
SNAP participation runs 37.1% against 15.2% nationally. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.
It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,053, 27% below the Chicago average.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Court records carry 1,256 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Filings peaked in 2001 at 12.8% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 10.4% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031460100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031460100?
Census tract 17031460100 in the The Bush neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031460100?
Median gross rent is $1,053/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031460100?
21.8% of residents in tract 17031460100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,650.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031460100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 67th, minority 94th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 17031460100 considered part of The Bush?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031460100 fall within The Bush (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031460100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,256 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031460100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.40% of renter households, peaking at 12.8% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031460100 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031460100 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031460100 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031460100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 19% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Dauphin Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Cragin
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
New Auburn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
West Haven
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
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