4 census tracts · pop 11,602 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.1/10
· range 8.1–8.1
The Bush takes in 4 census tracts of Chicago, IL and houses 11,602 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 8.1/10, placing it in the High tier. roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Chicago rate of 29.3%.
SNAP participation is 51.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 49.9% of adults, 32.1 points above the national rate. Severe burden reaches 34%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1/10. The poverty rate is 37%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
At $944 a month, rents sit 34% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 8.8/10. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.
Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Court records carry 2,452 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 13.3% of renter households.
Recent filings have not receded much: 8.4% in 2015 against a 13.3% peak. That places it #1 of 187 neighborhoods in Chicago.
With little internal variation, 8.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
8.1
High
4 tracts · population-weighted
The Bush vs ChicagoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority97%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in The Bush
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2,452Total filings (sum)
8.40%Avg annual filing rate
13.3%Peak year (2006)
8.65%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Bush
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
39.2%Housing insecurity
27.7%Utility shutoff threat
51.8%Food insecurity
53.7%SNAP enrollment
24.0%No health insurance
42.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About The Bush
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for The Bush?
The Bush scores 8.1/10 (High tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does The Bush compare to Chicago overall?
The Bush scores 1.4 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $944 vs $1,440.
Q3
What is the average rent in The Bush?
Average gross rent in The Bush is $944/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of The Bush residents are renters?
72% of The Bush households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 11,602 residents.
Q5
Is The Bush a high social-vulnerability area?
The Bush sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in The Bush have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in The Bush is census tract 17031460800 (score 8.1/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.1 to 8.1, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is The Bush for landlords?
The Bush carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.1/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of The Bush?
The Bush has 11,814 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (54.7%), Hispanic / Latino (41.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (2.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
