Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
The Bush Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031833900 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,696 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 8.1/10, tract 17031833900 in the The Bush area of Chicago, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,696 residents. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units772
Renter share67.4%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate46.2%
Median income$40,694
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7310, -87.5474 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Bush scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
46.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$936 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How The Bush compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 77%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 572Total filings over 15 yrs
- 6.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.3%Peak (2002)
- 39Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Bush. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 42.3%Housing insecurity
- 30.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 56.3%Food insecurity
- 58.7%SNAP enrollment
- 27.3%Transit barriers
- 26.7%No health insurance
- 21.9%Frequent mental distress
- 44.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Bush
Food insecurity runs 56.3% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 46%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Average gross rent is $936, 35% below the Chicago average. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Disability prevalence runs 44.2% against 31.5% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 572 filings here across 15 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2002, when 7.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 6.9% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031833900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031833900?
Census tract 17031833900 in the The Bush neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031833900?
Median gross rent is $936/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031833900?
46.2% of residents in tract 17031833900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,696.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031833900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 94th, minority 98th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 17031833900 considered part of The Bush?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031833900 fall within The Bush (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031833900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 572 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031833900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.92% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031833900 struggle to pay rent?
About 42.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 30.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031833900 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031833900 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031833900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 77% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Mayfair
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Park Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Rosemoor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Brighton
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Trumbull Park Homes
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Crawford
8.1
/ 10 · High
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