Stony Island Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

The filing record is not thin: 306 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2012, when 8.3% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 79th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 4.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.