Within neighborhood
13
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Brainerd Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031720100 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,370 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 17031720100 covers part of the Brainerd area of Chicago, IL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,370. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,111
Renter share4.3%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$149,180
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
16
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7276, -87.6747 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brainerd scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Brainerd compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 70%Grade A
- 5%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 65Total filings over 14 yrs
- 7.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.0%Peak (2002)
- 3Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 57% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brainerd. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.9%Food insecurity
- 10.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 12.8%Frequent mental distress
- 23.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brainerd
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 65 evictions over 14 years of observation.
It sits 0.7 points below the Cook County average of 6.1. Filings peaked in 2002 at 15.0% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031720100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031720100?
Census tract 17031720100 in the Brainerd neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031720100?
12.3% of residents in tract 17031720100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,370.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031720100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 17th, minority 64th, housing 4th.
Q4
Is tract 17031720100 considered part of Brainerd?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031720100 fall within Brainerd (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031720100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 65 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 17031720100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.82% of renter households, peaking at 15.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 17031720100 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17031720100 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031720100 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 17031720100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Bryn Mawr East
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Philip Murray Homes
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Englewood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Bush
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Pacific Junction
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Central Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
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