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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Brainerd Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031730202 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,093 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 6/10, tract 17031730202 in the Brainerd area of Chicago, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,093. At $2,185 a month, rents run 52% over what the rest of Chicago commands.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 10% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units966
Renter share21.1%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$81,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 9 tracts In Brainerd
Low
Within parent city
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#584 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Low
Within county
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#720 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#851 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7264, -87.6485 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brainerd scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,185 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Brainerd compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brainerd risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 730202Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 166Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 2.96%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.8%Peak (2015)
  • 17Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170317302022001: 13 filings (1.97/100 renter HHs)2002: 9 filings (1.36/100 renter HHs)2003: 10 filings (1.52/100 renter HHs)2004: 13 filings (1.97/100 renter HHs)2005: 10 filings (1.31/100 renter HHs)2006: 10 filings (1.31/100 renter HHs)2007: 7 filings (0.92/100 renter HHs)2008: 16 filings (2.10/100 renter HHs)2009: 10 filings (1.31/100 renter HHs)2010: 14 filings (5.86/100 renter HHs)2011: 12 filings (5.50/100 renter HHs)2012: 3 filings (1.38/100 renter HHs)2013: 13 filings (5.96/100 renter HHs)2014: 9 filings (4.13/100 renter HHs)2015: 17 filings (7.80/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 31% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brainerd. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brainerd

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $81,250, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Cost burden runs 55% here against 45.6% across Cook County. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The voucher gap is 24.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. SNAP participation runs 25.0% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 166 evictions over 15 years of observation.

Food insecurity runs 25.9% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2015 at 7.8% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031730202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031730202?

Census tract 17031730202 in the Brainerd neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031730202?

Median gross rent is $2,185/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031730202?

4.6% of residents in tract 17031730202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,093.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031730202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 75th, minority 98th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 17031730202 considered part of Brainerd?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031730202 fall within Brainerd (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031730202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 166 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031730202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.96% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031730202 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031730202 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031730202 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031730202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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