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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Brainerd Eviction Risk: Elevated

9 census tracts · pop 28,497 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.7/10 · range 5.3–8.1

Brainerd takes in 9 census tracts of Chicago, IL, population 28,497. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.7/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Scores across the 9 constituent tracts range from 5.3 to 8.1. A 2.8-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

39% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, ahead of the Chicago rate of 29.3%. 22% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $1,057, 27% below the Chicago average of $1,440.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.4/10.

SNAP participation is 26.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 2,964 eviction filings across its 9 observed tracts.

Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. Food insecurity affects 27.0% of adults, 9.2 points above the national rate.

The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 17.2% of renter households. That places it #103 of 187 neighborhoods in Chicago. Judgments average 1.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Rent takes 15% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 6.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
9 tracts · population-weighted
Brainerd vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.3% +34%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,057 -27%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$85,276 +13%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
11.9% -29%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
31.3% -42%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Brainerd and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 9 tracts span score 5.3–8.1

Why Brainerd scores 6.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
31% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
11.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–5.5 across tracts
3.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–7.4 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Brainerd vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Brainerd score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Brainerd: 6.76.7BrainerdNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Brainerd?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.8 points from 5.3 to 8.1. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

9 tracts in Brainerd

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031711100 8.1 2,808 48% $874
17031711400 8 2,728 66% $1,060
17031730300 7.7 1,042 70% $933
17031730201 7.3 5,671 47% $1,074
17031730400 6.7 4,070 42% $1,253
17031711300 6.5 1,618 28% $1,094
17031730202 6 3,093 55% $2,185
17031720100 5.4 3,370 0%
17031720200 5.3 4,097 19% $995
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 59

Pop-weighted across 9 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 63%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 43%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Brainerd

Aggregated across 9 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,964Total filings (sum)
  • 6.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.2%Peak year (2015)
  • 5.98%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Brainerd

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Brainerd

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Brainerd?

Brainerd scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 9 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Brainerd compare to Chicago overall?

Brainerd scores 0.0 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,057 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Brainerd?

Average gross rent in Brainerd is $1,057/month (pop-weighted across 9 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Brainerd residents are renters?

31% of Brainerd households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 28,497 residents.
Q5

Is Brainerd a high social-vulnerability area?

Brainerd sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Brainerd have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Brainerd is census tract 17031711100 (score 8.1/10). Across the 9 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 8.1, a spread of 2.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Brainerd for landlords?

Brainerd carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.7/10). Pop-weighted across 9 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Brainerd?

Brainerd has 27,566 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (79.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (13.3%), Hispanic / Latino (4.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Brainerd

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Brainerd.

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