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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Brainerd Eviction Risk: Elevated

9 census tracts · pop 28,497 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.7/10 · range 5.3–8.1

Brainerd takes in 9 census tracts of Chicago, IL, population 28,497. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.7/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Scores across the 9 constituent tracts range from 5.3 to 8.1. A 2.8-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

39% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, ahead of the Chicago rate of 29.3%. 22% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $1,057, 27% below the Chicago average of $1,440.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.4/10.

SNAP participation is 26.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 2,964 eviction filings across its 9 observed tracts.

Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. Food insecurity affects 27.0% of adults, 9.2 points above the national rate.

The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 17.2% of renter households. That places it #103 of 187 neighborhoods in Chicago. Judgments average 1.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Rent takes 15% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 6.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
9 tracts · population-weighted
Brainerd vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.3% +34%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,057 -27%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$85,276 +13%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
11.9% -29%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
31.3% -42%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Brainerd and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 9 tracts span score 5.3–8.1

Why Brainerd scores 6.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
31% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
11.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–5.5 across tracts
3.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–7.4 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Brainerd vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Brainerd score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.7BrainerdNeighborhood6.7Parent cityhost city5.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Brainerd?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.8 points from 5.3 to 8.1. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

9 tracts in Brainerd

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
17031711100 8.1 2,808 48% $874
17031711400 8 2,728 66% $1,060
17031730300 7.7 1,042 70% $933
17031730201 7.3 5,671 47% $1,074
17031730400 6.7 4,070 42% $1,253
17031711300 6.5 1,618 28% $1,094
17031730202 6 3,093 55% $2,185
17031720100 5.4 3,370 0% ,
17031720200 5.3 4,097 19% $995
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 59

Pop-weighted across 9 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 63%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 43%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Brainerd

Aggregated across 9 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,964Total filings (sum)
  • 6.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.2%Peak year (2015)
  • 5.98%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Brainerd

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Brainerd

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Brainerd?

Brainerd scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 9 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Brainerd compare to Chicago overall?

Brainerd scores 0.0 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,057 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Brainerd?

Average gross rent in Brainerd is $1,057/month (pop-weighted across 9 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Brainerd residents are renters?

31% of Brainerd households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 28,497 residents.
Q5

Is Brainerd a high social-vulnerability area?

Brainerd sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Brainerd have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Brainerd is census tract 17031711100 (score 8.1/10). Across the 9 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 8.1, a spread of 2.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Brainerd for landlords?

Brainerd carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.7/10). Pop-weighted across 9 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Brainerd?

Brainerd has 27,566 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (79.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (13.3%), Hispanic / Latino (4.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Brainerd

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Brainerd.

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