Within neighborhood
38
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Brainerd Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031711300 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,618 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 6.5/10, tract 17031711300 in the Brainerd area of Chicago, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Cook County average of 45.6%.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units688
Renter share47.8%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$76,524
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
34
th percentile
Low
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7335, -87.6673 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brainerd scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,094 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Brainerd compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 94%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 211Total filings over 15 yrs
- 6.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.6%Peak (2001)
- 15Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brainerd. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.4%Housing insecurity
- 18.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.8%Food insecurity
- 37.0%SNAP enrollment
- 16.3%Transit barriers
- 11.1%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 36.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brainerd
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.2/10. Food insecurity runs 35.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Housing insecurity runs 28.4% against 14.2% nationally.
At $1,094 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Court records carry 211 eviction filings across 15 observed years. The worst year on record was 2001, when 12.6% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.2% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031711300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031711300?
Census tract 17031711300 in the Brainerd neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031711300?
Median gross rent is $1,094/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031711300?
9.1% of residents in tract 17031711300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,618.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031711300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 95th, minority 97th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 17031711300 considered part of Brainerd?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031711300 fall within Brainerd (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031711300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 211 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031711300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.18% of renter households, peaking at 12.6% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031711300 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031711300 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031711300 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031711300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 94% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Little India
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Southport Corridor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Central Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Forest Hill
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Tri-Taylor
8.1
/ 10 · High
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