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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,663 of 84,120 nationally

Ellsworth Eviction Risk: Moderate , Elmwood Park

Tract 17031811000 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,021 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 17031811000 sits in the Ellsworth neighborhood of Elmwood Park, Illinois. It has a population of 4,021 and an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). 45% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 32% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,534/month against a median household income of $97,868 — roughly 19% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 7% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,665
Renter share13.2%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$97,868

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
43 th percentile
Rank — 43th percentileBottomTop
#5 of 8 tracts In Ellsworth
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank — 50th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 5 tracts In Elmwood Park
Moderate
Within county
32 th percentile
Rank — 32th percentileBottomTop
#900 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Low
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank — 58th percentileBottomTop
#1,380 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elmwood Park and the region

Centroid at 41.9157, -87.8197 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ellsworth scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elmwood Park
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,534 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elmwood Park
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elmwood Park
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elmwood Park
5.0

How Ellsworth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ellsworth risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 811000Elmwood Park: 5.65.6Elmwood Parkparent cityCounty: 5.75.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.45.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A — Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 53Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 2.79%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.9%Peak (2010)
  • 3Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 — 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318110002001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 2 filings (1.08/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (1.61/100 renter HHs)2004: 3 filings (1.61/100 renter HHs)2005: 1 filings (0.90/100 renter HHs)2006: 3 filings (2.70/100 renter HHs)2007: 4 filings (3.60/100 renter HHs)2008: 2 filings (1.80/100 renter HHs)2009: 4 filings (3.60/100 renter HHs)2010: 7 filings (3.87/100 renter HHs)2011: 7 filings (5.34/100 renter HHs)2012: 3 filings (2.29/100 renter HHs)2013: 7 filings (5.34/100 renter HHs)2014: 4 filings (3.05/100 renter HHs)2015: 3 filings (2.29/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ellsworth. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031811000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031811000?

Census tract 17031811000 in the Ellsworth neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031811000?

Median gross rent is $1,534/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031811000?

5.5% of residents in tract 17031811000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,021.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031811000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 59th, minority 42th, housing 4th.

Q5

Is tract 17031811000 considered part of Ellsworth?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031811000 fall within Ellsworth (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031811000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 53 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 17031811000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.79% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 17031811000 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 17031811000 compare to Elmwood Park overall?

Tract 17031811000 scores 5.5/10 — right in line with the parent city of Elmwood Park at 5.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elmwood Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 17031811000 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elmwood Park

Top eight tracts in Elmwood Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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