Within neighborhood
14
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Ellsworth Eviction Risk: Moderate , Elmwood Park
Tract 17031811000 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,021 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
17031811000 is a census tract in the Ellsworth area of Elmwood Park, IL. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,665
Renter share13.2%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$97,868
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
22
th percentile
Low
Within state
50
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elmwood Park and the region
Centroid at 41.9157, -87.8197 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ellsworth scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elmwood Park
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,534 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elmwood Park
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elmwood Park
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elmwood Park
5.0
How Ellsworth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 41%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 16%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 53Total filings over 14 yrs
- 2.79%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.9%Peak (2010)
- 3Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ellsworth. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.7%Food insecurity
- 8.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 13.2%Frequent mental distress
- 24.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ellsworth
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.8/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Court records carry 53 eviction filings across 14 observed years.
Average gross rent is $1,534, 15% above the Elmwood Park average. Food insecurity runs 10.7% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2010 at 3.9% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031811000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031811000?
Census tract 17031811000 in the Ellsworth neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031811000?
Median gross rent is $1,534/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031811000?
5.5% of residents in tract 17031811000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,021.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031811000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 59th, minority 42th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 17031811000 considered part of Ellsworth?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031811000 fall within Ellsworth (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031811000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 53 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 17031811000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.79% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031811000 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031811000 compare to Elmwood Park overall?
Tract 17031811000 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Elmwood Park at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elmwood Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031811000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elmwood Park
Top eight tracts in Elmwood Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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