Ellsworth Eviction Risk: Moderate , Elmwood Park

around a third of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Cook County average of 45.6%. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.5 points.

The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 138 filings here across 15 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,537, 15% above the Elmwood Park average.

The worst year on record was 2012, when 8.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.9% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $97,134.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.