Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Garden Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031842400 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,207 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
17031842400 is a census tract in the Garden Homes area of Chicago, IL. It scores 5.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,207 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,398
Renter share37.6%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$100,870
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7424, -87.6301 · click any tract to drill in
Why Garden Homes scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$998 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Garden Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 36%Grade C
- 9%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 415Total filings over 15 yrs
- 5.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.0%Peak (2001)
- 31Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Garden Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.7%Housing insecurity
- 10.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.6%Food insecurity
- 15.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.2%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 25.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Garden Homes
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. At $998 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
52% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Cook County average of 45.6%. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 415 filings here across 15 tracked years. It sits 0.8 points below the Cook County average of 6.1.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 10.0% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 5.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.7/10. Against average income of $100,870, annual rent is just 12%.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031842400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031842400?
Census tract 17031842400 in the Garden Homes neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031842400?
Median gross rent is $998/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031842400?
2.0% of residents in tract 17031842400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,207.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031842400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 78th, minority 98th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 17031842400 considered part of Garden Homes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031842400 fall within Garden Homes (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031842400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 415 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031842400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.64% of renter households, peaking at 10.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031842400 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031842400 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031842400 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031842400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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8.1
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