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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

West Roseland Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031491000 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,417 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 8.1/10, tract 17031491000 in the West Roseland area of Chicago, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,417 residents. Severe burden reaches 58%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 18% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,185
Renter share54.3%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate35.5%
Median income$33,065

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In West Roseland
Very High
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#154 of 792 tracts In Chicago
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#143 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.6998, -87.6281 · click any tract to drill in

Why West Roseland scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
35.5% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$941 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How West Roseland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
West Roseland risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 491000Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 971Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 9.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.3%Peak (2003)
  • 45Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170314910002001: 78 filings (12.28/100 renter HHs)2002: 66 filings (10.39/100 renter HHs)2003: 91 filings (14.33/100 renter HHs)2004: 87 filings (13.70/100 renter HHs)2005: 45 filings (5.76/100 renter HHs)2006: 65 filings (8.32/100 renter HHs)2007: 91 filings (11.65/100 renter HHs)2008: 49 filings (6.27/100 renter HHs)2009: 55 filings (7.04/100 renter HHs)2010: 50 filings (6.34/100 renter HHs)2011: 63 filings (10.11/100 renter HHs)2012: 61 filings (9.79/100 renter HHs)2013: 63 filings (10.11/100 renter HHs)2014: 62 filings (9.95/100 renter HHs)2015: 45 filings (7.22/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within West Roseland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West Roseland

68% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Cook County average of 45.6%. SNAP participation runs 55.8% against 15.2% nationally.

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 28.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At $941 a month, rents run 35% under what the rest of Chicago commands. The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.9/10.

Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Set annual rent against average income of $33,065 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

The filing record is not thin: 971 evictions over 15 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2003 at 14.3% of renter households.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031491000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031491000?

Census tract 17031491000 in the West Roseland neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031491000?

Median gross rent is $941/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031491000?

35.5% of residents in tract 17031491000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,417.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031491000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 65th, minority 100th, housing 54th.
Q5

Is tract 17031491000 considered part of West Roseland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031491000 fall within West Roseland (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031491000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 971 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031491000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.55% of renter households, peaking at 14.3% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031491000 struggle to pay rent?

About 37.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031491000 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031491000 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031491000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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