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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Blackstone Trails Eviction Risk: Lower , Normal

Tract 17113000507 · McLean County, IL · pop 2,838 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

The Blackstone Trails area of Normal is where census tract 17113000507 sits, home to 2,838 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.8/10. That is riskier than roughly 32% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 0% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,494 a month against an average household income of $174,659 a year, roughly 10% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 15% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units942
Renter share15.2%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate0.4%
Median income$174,659

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Blackstone Trails
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 13 tracts In Normal
Very Low
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 47 tracts In McLean County
Low
Within state
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#2,222 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Normal and the region

Centroid at 40.5296, -88.9334 · click any tract to drill in

Why Blackstone Trails scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Normal
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
0.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,494 rent vs county FMR
8.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Normal
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Normal
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Normal
8.3

How Blackstone Trails compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Blackstone Trails risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 000507Normal: 4.54.5Normalparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Blackstone Trails

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 8.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Normal eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the McLean County average of 5.3 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17113000507

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17113000507?

Census tract 17113000507 in the Blackstone Trails neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17113000507?

Median gross rent is $1,494/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17113000507?

0.4% of residents in tract 17113000507 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,838.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17113000507?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 49th, minority 54th, housing 19th.
Q5

Is tract 17113000507 considered part of Blackstone Trails?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17113000507 fall within Blackstone Trails (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17113000507 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17113000507 compare to Normal overall?

Tract 17113000507 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of Normal at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Normal eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Normal

Top eight tracts in Normal ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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