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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Blackstone Trails Eviction Risk: Moderate , Normal

Tract 17113000507 · McLean County, IL · pop 2,838 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 17113000507 sits in the Blackstone Trails area of Normal eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. It is home to 2,838 residents. Average gross rent is $1,494, 55% above the Normal average.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 15% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units942
Renter share15.2%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate0.4%
Median income$174,659

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Blackstone Trails
Moderate
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 13 tracts In Normal
Very Low
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 47 tracts In McLean County
Moderate
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#1,840 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Normal and the region

Centroid at 40.5296, -88.9334 · click any tract to drill in

Why Blackstone Trails scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Normal
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
0.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,494 rent vs county FMR
8.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Normal
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Normal
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Normal
8.3

How Blackstone Trails compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Blackstone Trails risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0005075.9Normalparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Blackstone Trails

The voucher gap is 38.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.8/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10. SNAP participation runs 5.0% against 15.2% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 6.7% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.5/10. Against average income of $174,659, annual rent is just 10%.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 0%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17113000507

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17113000507?

Census tract 17113000507 in the Blackstone Trails neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17113000507?

Median gross rent is $1,494/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17113000507?

0.4% of residents in tract 17113000507 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,838.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17113000507?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 49th, minority 54th, housing 19th.
Q5

Is tract 17113000507 considered part of Blackstone Trails?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17113000507 fall within Blackstone Trails (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17113000507 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17113000507 compare to Normal overall?

Tract 17113000507 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Normal at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Normal eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Normal

Top eight tracts in Normal ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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