Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Belleville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17163503202 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 5,133 · 27% of tract blocks fall in Belleville

Census tract 17163503202 covers part of Belleville, IL, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,133 residents. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 17% Owners 67%

Tract context

Occupied units2,160

Renter share32.8%

SVI overall0.50

Poverty rate11.2%

Median income$59,235

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Belleville and the region

Centroid at 38.5168, -90.0830 · click any tract to drill in

Why Belleville scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Belleville

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

11.2% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$872 rent vs county FMR

2.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Belleville

6.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Belleville

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Belleville

6.5

How Belleville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

29%Socioeconomic
47%Household composition
50%Racial/ethnic minority
77%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.2%Housing insecurity
7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
13.9%Food insecurity
13.7%SNAP enrollment
7.4%Transit barriers
7.2%No health insurance
16.1%Frequent mental distress
32.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Belleville

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.8/10. 49% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the St. Clair County average of 44.8%. Average gross rent is $872, 14% below the Belleville average.

That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $59,235, annual rent is just 18%.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the St. Clair County average of 4.5 closely. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17163503202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163503202?

Census tract 17163503202 in Belleville scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17163503202?

Median gross rent is $872/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17163503202?

11.2% of residents in tract 17163503202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,133.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17163503202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 47th, minority 50th, housing 77th.

What share of households in tract 17163503202 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17163503202 compare to Belleville overall?

Tract 17163503202 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Belleville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Belleville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Belleville

Top eight tracts in Belleville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.