Census Tract · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

East St. Louis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17163501200 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 2,273

For landlords sizing up East St. Louis, census tract 17163501200 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. That is riskier than about 43% of US census tracts.

About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,175 a month against an average household income of $70,254 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 21% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 15% Owners 78%

Tract context

Occupied units766

Renter share21.4%

SVI overall0.38

Poverty rate19.7%

Median income$70,254

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across East St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.6116, -90.1233 · click any tract to drill in

Why East St. Louis scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from East St. Louis

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

19.7% poverty · this tract

4.9

Supply constraint

$1,175 rent vs county FMR

4.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from East St. Louis

4.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from East St. Louis

3.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from East St. Louis

4.5

How East St. Louis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

59%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
100%Racial/ethnic minority
29%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

7%Grade A
25%Grade B
21%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.7%Housing insecurity
18.0%Utility-shutoff threat
31.5%Food insecurity
34.4%SNAP enrollment
15.1%Transit barriers
9.7%No health insurance
17.3%Frequent mental distress
36.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East St. Louis

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 4.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East St. Louis, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Clair County average of 5.5 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17163501200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163501200?

Census tract 17163501200 in East St. Louis scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17163501200?

Median gross rent is $1,175/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17163501200?

19.7% of residents in tract 17163501200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,273.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17163501200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 5th, minority 100th, housing 29th.

What share of households in tract 17163501200 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17163501200 compare to East St. Louis overall?

Tract 17163501200 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of East St. Louis at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East St. Louis; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17163501200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East St. Louis

Top eight tracts in East St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.