Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Columbus Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , East St. Louis

Tract 17163504502 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 1,119 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 17163504502 in the Columbus Square area of East St. Louis, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,119. The severe-burden share is 47%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 26% Owners 32%

Tract context

Occupied units429

Renter share68.5%

SVI overall0.81

Poverty rate45.0%

Median income$16,712

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across East St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.6360, -90.1654 · click any tract to drill in

Why Columbus Square scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from East St. Louis

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

45.0% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$456 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from East St. Louis

4.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from East St. Louis

3.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from East St. Louis

4.5

How Columbus Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

73%Socioeconomic
71%Household composition
97%Racial/ethnic minority
70%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
27%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

37.8%Housing insecurity
31.9%Utility-shutoff threat
50.5%Food insecurity
60.9%SNAP enrollment
26.0%Transit barriers
12.4%No health insurance
24.1%Frequent mental distress
44.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Columbus Square

Against St. Clair County at 44.8%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Average gross rent is $456, 46% below the East St. Louis average.

The poverty rate is 45%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 37.8% against 14.2% nationally.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $16,712, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Disability prevalence runs 44.0% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 0.9 points above the St. Clair County average of 4.5.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17163504502

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163504502?

Census tract 17163504502 in the Columbus Square neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17163504502?

Median gross rent is $456/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17163504502?

45.0% of residents in tract 17163504502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,119.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17163504502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 71th, minority 97th, housing 70th.

Is tract 17163504502 considered part of Columbus Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17163504502 fall within Columbus Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17163504502 struggle to pay rent?

About 37.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17163504502 compare to East St. Louis overall?

Tract 17163504502 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of East St. Louis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East St. Louis; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17163504502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 27% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East St. Louis

Top eight tracts in East St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.