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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Columbus Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , East St. Louis

Tract 17163504502 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 1,119 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 17163504502 covers Columbus Square in East St. Louis in Illinois. Home to 1,119 residents, it scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 62% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $456 a month while the average household earns $16,712 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 69% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 26% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units429
Renter share68.5%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate45.0%
Median income$16,712

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Columbus Square
Moderate
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 10 tracts In East St. Louis
Elevated
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 68 tracts In St. Clair County
High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#616 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across East St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.6360, -90.1654 · click any tract to drill in

Why Columbus Square scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East St. Louis
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
45.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$456 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East St. Louis
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East St. Louis
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East St. Louis
4.5

How Columbus Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Columbus Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 504502East St. Louis: 4.34.3East St. Louisparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Columbus Square

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East St. Louis, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Clair County average of 5.5 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 37.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 31.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 27% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 17163504502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163504502?

Census tract 17163504502 in the Columbus Square neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17163504502?

Median gross rent is $456/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17163504502?

45.0% of residents in tract 17163504502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,119.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17163504502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 71th, minority 97th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 17163504502 considered part of Columbus Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17163504502 fall within Columbus Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17163504502 struggle to pay rent?

About 37.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17163504502 compare to East St. Louis overall?

Tract 17163504502 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of East St. Louis at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East St. Louis; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17163504502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 27% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East St. Louis

Top eight tracts in East St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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