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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

East St. Louis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17163504600 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 1,163

Census tract 17163504600 covers part of East St. Louis, IL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,163 residents. 46% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 20% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units643
Renter share70.3%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate47.7%
Median income$24,135

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 10 tracts In East St. Louis
Elevated
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 68 tracts In St. Clair County
Elevated
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,219 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across East St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.6299, -90.1392 · click any tract to drill in

Why East St. Louis scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East St. Louis
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
47.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$695 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East St. Louis
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East St. Louis
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East St. Louis
4.5

How East St. Louis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East St. Louis risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 5046004.0East St. Louisparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East St. Louis

72% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the St. Clair County average of 44.8%. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

SNAP participation runs 71.7% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 61.0% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 48%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $24,135, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Average gross rent is $695, 18% below the East St. Louis average. Against the St. Clair County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.7/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17163504600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163504600?

Census tract 17163504600 in East St. Louis scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17163504600?

Median gross rent is $695/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17163504600?

47.7% of residents in tract 17163504600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,163.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17163504600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 80th, minority 99th, housing 48th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 17163504600 struggle to pay rent?

About 43.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 37.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 17163504600 compare to East St. Louis overall?

Tract 17163504600 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of East St. Louis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East St. Louis; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 17163504600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East St. Louis

Top eight tracts in East St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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