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Census Tract · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

East St. Louis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17163500900 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 2,411

Census tract 17163500900 covers East St. Louis in St. Clair County, home to 2,411 residents. For landlords it grades 6.1/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 78th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $345 a month while the average household earns $18,856 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 72% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 28% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,138
Renter share71.5%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate51.9%
Median income$18,856

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 10 tracts In East St. Louis
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 68 tracts In St. Clair County
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#480 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
National
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#14,316 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across East St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.6155, -90.1477 · click any tract to drill in

Why East St. Louis scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East St. Louis
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
51.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$345 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East St. Louis
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East St. Louis
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East St. Louis
4.5

How East St. Louis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East St. Louis risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 500900East St. Louis: 4.34.3East St. Louisparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East St. Louis

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East St. Louis, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Clair County average of 5.5 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 85% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 17163500900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163500900?

Census tract 17163500900 in East St. Louis scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17163500900?

Median gross rent is $345/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17163500900?

51.9% of residents in tract 17163500900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,411.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17163500900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 52th, minority 97th, housing 98th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 17163500900 struggle to pay rent?

About 39.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 32.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 17163500900 compare to East St. Louis overall?

Tract 17163500900 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of East St. Louis at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East St. Louis; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 17163500900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 85% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East St. Louis

Top eight tracts in East St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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