East St. Louis Eviction Risk: Moderate

At $345 a month, rents run 59% under what the rest of East St. Louis commands. Food insecurity runs 54.2% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 52%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against St. Clair County at 44.8%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 48.7% against 31.5% nationally.

72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 0.9 points above the St. Clair County average of 4.5.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $18,856.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.