Census Tract · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

East St. Louis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17163501300 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 3,936 · 96% of tract blocks fall in East St. Louis

Census tract 17163501300 runs through East St. Louis. With 3,936 residents, it scores 5.4/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #39,033 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

21% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,102 a month against an average household income of $40,100 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 13% Owners 84%

Tract context

Occupied units992

Renter share16.0%

SVI overall0.78

Poverty rate42.7%

Median income$40,100

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across East St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.6074, -90.0927 · click any tract to drill in

Why East St. Louis scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from East St. Louis

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

42.7% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$1,102 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from East St. Louis

4.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from East St. Louis

3.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from East St. Louis

4.5

How East St. Louis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

82%Socioeconomic
79%Household composition
99%Racial/ethnic minority
37%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

10%Grade A
10%Grade B
39%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

33.8%Housing insecurity
26.1%Utility-shutoff threat
46.5%Food insecurity
53.5%SNAP enrollment
22.0%Transit barriers
14.7%No health insurance
20.4%Frequent mental distress
46.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East St. Louis

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East St. Louis, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Clair County average of 5.5 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 33.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 26.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17163501300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163501300?

Census tract 17163501300 in East St. Louis scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17163501300?

Median gross rent is $1,102/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17163501300?

42.7% of residents in tract 17163501300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,936.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17163501300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 79th, minority 99th, housing 37th.

What share of households in tract 17163501300 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17163501300 compare to East St. Louis overall?

Tract 17163501300 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of East St. Louis at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East St. Louis; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17163501300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East St. Louis

Top eight tracts in East St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.