Vinegar Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Springfield

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.7/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Food insecurity runs 6.8% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 1.0 points below the Sangamon County average of 4.2. SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally.

At $1,091 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Springfield commands. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Springfield. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $92,083, annual rent is just 14%. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.