Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Vinegar Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 17167001300 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 1,638 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 17167001300 in the Vinegar Hill area of Springfield, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 42% Owners 18%

Tract context

Occupied units818

Renter share81.4%

SVI overall0.64

Poverty rate25.9%

Median income$35,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.8010, -89.6609 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vinegar Hill scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.8

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

25.9% poverty · this tract

6.5

Supply constraint

$772 rent vs county FMR

1.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

How Vinegar Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

59%Socioeconomic
54%Household composition
67%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
11%Grade B
73%Grade C
8%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Vinegar Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.3%Housing insecurity
11.2%Utility-shutoff threat
20.2%Food insecurity
20.8%SNAP enrollment
10.6%Transit barriers
9.2%No health insurance
18.3%Frequent mental distress
30.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vinegar Hill

81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.8/10. Cost burden runs 49% here against 38.5% across Sangamon County.

The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $772, 21% below the Springfield average.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Sangamon County average of 4.2.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Springfield. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.7/10. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $35,000.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167001300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167001300?

Census tract 17167001300 in the Vinegar Hill neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17167001300?

Median gross rent is $772/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167001300?

25.9% of residents in tract 17167001300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,638.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167001300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 54th, minority 67th, housing 61th.

Is tract 17167001300 considered part of Vinegar Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167001300 fall within Vinegar Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17167001300 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17167001300 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167001300 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17167001300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 8% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.