Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Vinegar Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 17167001100 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 2,525 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 17167001100 sits in the Vinegar Hill area of Springfield eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. Against Sangamon County at 38.5%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 13% Owners 71%

Tract context

Occupied units1,134

Renter share29.0%

SVI overall0.69

Poverty rate18.1%

Median income$67,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.7942, -89.6800 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vinegar Hill scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.8

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

18.1% poverty · this tract

4.5

Supply constraint

$1,241 rent vs county FMR

6.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

How Vinegar Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

51%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
26%Racial/ethnic minority
83%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

11%Grade A
38%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Vinegar Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.2%Housing insecurity
7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
14.2%Food insecurity
15.2%SNAP enrollment
7.8%Transit barriers
7.1%No health insurance
16.8%Frequent mental distress
31.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vinegar Hill

The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $1,241 a month, rents run 27% over what the rest of Springfield commands.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2.5/10. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against the Sangamon County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Springfield. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Springfield rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.2/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $67,188. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167001100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167001100?

Census tract 17167001100 in the Vinegar Hill neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17167001100?

Median gross rent is $1,241/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167001100?

18.1% of residents in tract 17167001100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,525.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167001100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 81th, minority 26th, housing 83th.

Is tract 17167001100 considered part of Vinegar Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167001100 fall within Vinegar Hill (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17167001100 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17167001100 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167001100 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17167001100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.